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In May of
this year we raised our
Spacetime Threat Assessment
(STAR) Level for the first
time. Some of you might be
curious how and why this was
done.
The original idea for the STAR
Threat Level was to enhance open
source intelligence with input
from
AMP --
anomalous mental phenomena
-- to provide early warning of
potential threats that might be
missed or not communicated to
the public at large.
Our first effort appeared to be
on target. In December of 2006,
we received AMP-sourced
intelligence suggesting that
terrorists would shift their
attention from threats to
destroy planes mid-air to a
ground based strategy that
targeted planes and airport
facilities. The AMP data
suggested an all-out assault
might be in the planning stages,
designed to destroy terminals,
planes and persons on the
ground. This item was filed away
until early May of 2007, when
AMP-sources suggested increasing
threats under development.
A decision was made to
raise the threat level.
Shortly after our level was
raised to 'SEVERE: there is a
strong potential for damaging
events," the media broke the
story about the terrorist plot
to destroy JFK Airport.
Associated Press reported
"Federal authorities said a plot
by a suspected Muslim terrorist
cell to blow up John F. Kennedy
International Airport, its fuel
tanks and a jet fuel artery
could have caused “unthinkable”
devastation."
.
Although the JFK plot had
fizzled, our AMP data suggested
more was yet to come. And
indications were pointing to
ever-increasing threat levels
over the summer.
We decided to maintain the
heightened STAR Alert.
More incidents occurred, this
time in London and Glasgow. CNN
reported, "On Saturday, a sport
utility vehicle was driven into
an entrance at Scotland's
Glasgow International Airport
and burst into flames. On
Friday, two explosives-laden
cars were discovered at two
locations in London. The United
Kingdom raised its terrorism
threat level to critical, the
highest level possible, after
the attack Saturday at
Scotland's busiest airport."
Other threats, reports from
unknown and possibly unreliable
sources, were tasked as targets
for AMP-intelligence sources.
One item, a rumor of loose
'suitcase' nukes, initially
resulted in an ambiguous result.
The key AMP-based finding
determined that safety measures
built into the design of such a
weapon would frustrate any
attempt to access the triggering
mechanism. The device would need
to be reconstructed -- and more
importantly -- the design
involved a Plutonium sphere, and
was not a simple gun-type bomb.
Further tasking of this alleged
target suggested a specific
location -- an 'executive' near
a fire station close to the twin
ports of Long Beach and Los
Angeles -- and a few weeks
later, Michael Chertoff, chief
of Homeland Security,
appeared
at the AMP-identified location
to discuss the response
following a nuclear attack. In
May, AMP-results initially
determined that the only
'chatter' at the DHS appeared to
involve modeling of an attack;
fall-out patterns, estimated
damage assessments, but nothing
specific. The AMP-data about
Long Beach appeared to have
fallen right out of a RAND study
of the effects of a terrorist
nuclear strike against the Twin
Ports; the nuclear yield and
location of the simulated attack
matched the independently
derived AMP data.
Official reaction in the United
States to ever-increasing
conventional intelligence
appeared in the media.
Associate Press reported
"Homeland Security Secretary
Michael Chertoff laid out a list
of factors contributing to his
'gut feeling' that the nation
faces a higher risk of attack
this summer: al-Qaida's
increased freedom to train in
South Asia, a flurry of public
statements from the network's
leadership, a history of
summertime attacks, a broader
range of attacks in North Africa
and Europe and homegrown
terrorism increasing in Europe."
How we
determine the threat level
* Open
sources (media, reports,
scientific papers)
* Private sources (government
'chatter')
* AMP
sources (threat scenarios)
The Spacetime Threat
is assessed
from multiple sources, including
AMP (anomalous mental phenomena)
sources which may represent
alternative channels of
information, including viral
information and human intuitive
perception.
AMP
sources are used to enhance
the threat assessment. No claim
of objective overt reality is
assigned to AMP sources beyond
the additional creative input
supplied by intuitive data. For
example, elements of government
intelligence have utilized input
from authors of fiction to
develop threat scenarios to
assess the potential for
unforeseen developments that may
have been overlooked using
conventional methods.
Mapping of
AMP sources to real-world
events as they occur drives the
threat level higher. For
example, if an AMP source
provided a PAST (Premonition
Alert to a Spacetime Threat) of
a nuclear detonation, followed
by real-world intelligence
warning
of a 'loose nuke' on the black
market, then the threat level
would be increased.
SPACETIME THREAT ASSESSMENT SCALE
EXTREME:
threatening events are already in progress
SEVERE:
there is a strong potential for realization of damaging events
HIGH:
a potential exists for damaging events
ELEVATED:
a potential exists for developing threats
GUARDED:
climate is favorable for developing threats
LOW:
a small potential exists for developing threats
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